German Weekend

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1. Bundesliga

Leverkusen- Stuttgart: Leverkusen -0.5 @ 1.79

Karlsruhe- Hamburg: Hamburg -0.5 @ 2.0

Gladbach- Hoffenheim: Hoffenheim pk,-0.5 @1.99

Frankfurt- Köln: Köln pk,+0.5 @ 2.05

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LIFE'S 2 SHORT NOT TO BE ITALIAN
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Good to see you posting again. Thank you Chris
 

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i was busy lately and not at home, but will be back regulary...i ll add some write ups for todays matches in next hour
 

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1. Bundesliga

Leverkusen- Stuttgart: Leverkusen -0.5 @ 1.79

Leverkusenis the much better team here, especially at home. they won after the break already in cup, but followed with a draw at Dortmund in which they clearly dominated.
Stuttgart is struggling all season and will continue. Although they won last week against helpless Gladbach the better view on the team you could had in the midweek 1-5 home cup-loss to München

Karlsruhe- Hamburg: Hamburg -0.5 @ 2.0 and under 2.5 @ 1.97

it s a mismatch and even away Hamburg is the much better team. only problem is the Olic on offense is still suspended so it will be up to Petric to score again. Hamburg has started with a home win over München which made sure they will stay in title hunt for next weeks, while Karlsruhe showed no improvement in form in a away loss to lowly Bochum.

Karlsruhe is truggling on offense, scoring less than one goal on avarage leading to 6 of 8 home games going under.
With Hamburg one of the better defensive teams that can especially away control the tempo i likethe under here very much. especially with Olic out there shoul also not be too much offense from them once they take the lead.

Gladbach- Hoffenheim: Hoffenheim pk,-0.5 @1.99

Gladbach has started with away loss at struggling Stuttgart, while Hoffenheim overcame injuries to get home win over Cottbus...although a draw is possible i like the chances very much of the league leader against the last place team, especially with some injury concern in Gladbach and a bad spirit around the team and coach right now.

Frankfurt- Köln: Köln pk,+0.5 @ 2.05

Köln has started with a solid home draw to WOlfsburg, in which they played without suspended key-players Geromel and Novakovic. now both back in action hhhould difficult for Franfurt to score.
Frankfurt tends to play quite open at home which leave them vulnurable to the counter attack , probably the most dangerous part in Köln game...this is just a perfect matchup for Köln in this situation and i expect them to get at least a draw with a good chance of an away win.

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.
 

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Sunday

München- Dortmund: München -1.5 @2.01 !! 2 units!!

that is a big chance for München today. everybody else in title race struggled yesterday (Berlin, Leverkusen,Hamburg, Hoffenheim)...they got their wake up call with last week s losss at Hamburg a game they actually played well. overall they are the best team in germany anyway and today their mind will be focused.
At home they are a dominant team this season and their usual tempo and offensive power at home should be too much for Dortmund.
Dortmund had a mixed start..not playing bad but not getting the right results...they lost in cup at home to Bremen followed by a home draw to Leverkusen in which they were outplayed.
i dont think they are able to stay with München here today.
History looks also great for München as they have not lost at home to Dortmund in 16 !! years.

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last week 2-3 +0.05 units

Friday

1. Bundesliga

Hoffenheim- Leverkusen: Leverkusen pk,+0.5 @ 1.80

it should be an entertaining games. league leader Hoffenheim against one of the top teams Leverkusen.
Hoffenheim is the big surprise this season. in first half of season they played fantastic offensive football. they ran over most teams by pure speed. this has changed so far after the winter break. their top striker Ibisevic is out for rest of season. Other striker Obasi was injured and might start today, but still not 100 %. same for Eduardo in midfield who also missed first two games this year.
Results were are not convincing 2-0 home win over lowly cottbus and a 1-1 draw at last place Gladbach, in which they scores the goal in injury time.
Due to the injuries of key players Hoffenheim cannot play it s usual style and therefore is more a team ranging from place 5-8 in standings...so i expect them to come down a bit from the level they played early in season.
Leverkusen meanwhile is a solid team. Although also not with a good start in the year with a away draw at Dortmund and a 2-4 home loss to Stuttgart, i still think they are the better team here. They are strong in away games winning 5 with only 2 losses and they are one of the few team that already beat Hoffenheim this year (5-2 at home).

i expect an open match with slight advantages to Leverkusen, especially in an away set-up where they can play on the counter attack and dont have to make the game as in last week s home loss.

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adding

Hoffenheim- Leverkusen over 2.5,3 @ 1.92

not sure why, but line is moving big time toward the under.

Leverkusen is a solid over team as well as Hoffenheim.
Leverkusen scored in 9 away gae only twice 1 goal and in all other games at least 2...even with Hoffenheim s firepower maybe reduced they still will attack i a home game and should able to get also on the board which should give the over a great chance.
 

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Well done Kölner, I was on this game as well. Buy a Kölsch at Früh from me please. :toast:
 

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just quicly the 3. Bundesliga

Saturday

3. Bundesliga

Düsseldorf- Burghausen: Düsseldorf -1 @ 2.05


1. Liga to come in next 30-40 min.
 

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1. Bundesliga

Berlin- München: München -0.5 @1.80 and under 2.5,3 @ 1.97 !! 2 units!!

Top match of the day Berlin in 3rd vs. München in 2nd. the winner will take over the lead in the standings. difference here is that München belongs in this position, while Berlin is playing a bit over their level so far.
Berlin is basing their success mainly on a strong defense (2nd best in league) but they are struggling on offense. today their best player Pantelic is out and they normally struggling without him.
München lost first game at Hamburg although playing well but came back with a dominant efford over Dortmund. they like playing at Berlin where they have not lost in last 6 matches.
the under looks particular good: i dont expect Berlin to bring much offense without Pantelic. they will be happy with a draw anyway. 3 of last 4 matchups at Berlin have ended 0-0
München usually contolling the pace in away game. only 2 of 10 away games have seen more than 3 goals. especially against a defensive minded team as Berlin is see the same here and would not be surprised if they shutout Berlin.
 

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Frankfurt- Wolfsburg: over 2.5,3 @ 1.87 !! 2 units!! and WOlfsburg pk @ 1.85

Frankfurt is a good home team but they struggling so far a bit this year..losing first game followed by a mediocre home draw to Köln which they could have lost in the end.
key defenseive player chris has red card suspension, which also not helps.
Wolfsburg had a draw at Köln followed by a home win. they are overall the better team here but have only a mediocre away record, but at pk i like them here as i expect them to at least ge he draw.
the over is a big play. Frankfurt is an over team at home where from last 6 games 2 had 3 goals and the last 4 home games 4 goals.
Wolfsburg is an over team anyway, whereever they are playing. only 2 of 10 away games stayed under the number.

Köln- Karlsruhe: Köln pk,-0.5 @ 1.83

Köln in midfield off to a good start with draws to Wolfsburg and at Frankfurt. their main success this season is that they are winning against the teams that are at the bottom. So Karlsruhe is exactly what they are looking for. the usual strong home support should give them some extra boost.
Karlsruhe in mids of relegation fight got a surprising last minute win last week over Hamburg, which should also give them some confidence, but today will be tough. of 10 away games they have one win and 9 losses this season. they are also missing key midfield player Engelhardt with suspension which will not help either.
 

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Bochum- Schalke: Schalke -0.5 @ 2.05

it s a "subway"-derby in which usually everything can happen, but this season Schalke is the better team..or more so Bochum is a really weak team.in addition to being in 17th place Bochum has big,big injury problems. their two main defenders Maltritz and Yahia are out with injury and the dont have an adequate reserve in this position. now even one of their strikers is injured.
Schalke is playing a mediocre season, but they got a much need home win over Bremen last week, which should help them. they lost only 1 of last 7 games at Bochum. The better team should win here.

Bremen should win here, but not sure about covering 1.5. but it s maybe a good value if you need something for an ML parlay.

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They who lose today may win tomorrow
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Like them all , too bad I didn't take over 3 at 1.90 for Werder game , now only 1.75 so I gotta skip this .

Bayern game could end like 1-1 or 0-2 I believe .
 

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Like them all , too bad I didn't take over 3 at 1.90 for Werder game , now only 1.75 so I gotta skip this .

Bayern game could end like 1-1 or 0-2 I believe .


i hope so...i couldnt be around for today s Biathlon, but i think it was better anyway to see the first races in these crazy conditions. I ll be back for tomorrow s races, hope to see you too.
 

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sunday

2. Bundesliga

Aachen Nürnberg: Aachen pk @ 1.88 and under 2.5 @ 1.95

Kaiserslautern- Ingolstadt: Kaiserslautern -1 @1.85

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will be back with 1. Liga with write ups.
 

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1. Bundesliga

Hamburg- Bielefeld -1 @ 1.80 !! 2 units!!

Hamburg is missing striker Petric, but Olic is back. they are he best home team in league with 8 wins and one draw just coming off the home win over munich. they had a bad away loss last week at Karlsruhe 2-3 after leading 2-0, but with Hoffenheim and München loosing this weekend that their chance.
Bielefeld is playing against relegation but got 2 solid results so far this year...nevertheless they will have big problems today as 1 defender is suspended and 3 more probably not playing with injury or illness.
Hamburg is clearly the better team here and although Bielefeld can sometimes surprise in away games i dont see them with a big chance here today.

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